Shell may seek fast ramp up at Prelude offshore Australia
The Valencia Knutsen, a Spanish-flagged tanker, is transporting the cargo from the Prelude complex in block WA-44-L.
According to Shell’s partner INPEX, the FLNG vessel gathers, processes, stores, and offloads natural gas and condensate products.
Gas production started last December, followed by the initial shipment of condensate in March 2019.
Wood Mackenzie senior analyst Daniel Toleman pointed out that the first LNG cargo departed more than eight years after the project’s final investment decision (FID) and nearly two years after the FLNG facility arrived in Australia.
“How fast Prelude delivers its second and third cargo and ramps up to plateau output will be a key indicator of success,” he claimed.
“Shell will be keen to ramp up to full production quickly to counteract any reserves impact from the already producing and connected Ichthys field.”
Front-end engineering design started earlier this year for the Crux field, which will also send production to the FLNG vessel. “We expect an FID late next year with first production in 2025,” Toleman said.
Later this year Shell plans to spud the Bratwurst exploration well. If this leads to a significant gas discovery, the volumes could also be developed via the Prelude facility.
With Prelude onstream, Australia is set to export more than 80 MMt/ytr of LNG, Toleman continued, which means it would overtake Qatar as the world’s largest LNG producer.
“The completion of Prelude marks the end of the Australian greenfield LNG boom. The next investment cycle is already in sight, with backfill projects – Scarborough, Barossa, Browse, Arrow and Crux – vying for FID.”