Analysis: US offshore wind industry in a race against time

Developers are betting that recent preliminary injunctions will provide enough time to complete their projects.
Feb. 18, 2026
11 min read

Key Highlights

  • Five US offshore wind projects, valued at $25 billion, are racing against time to complete before potential legal or political setbacks.
  • Courts have granted preliminary injunctions, allowing construction to resume while lawsuits proceed, preventing immediate economic losses estimated at up to $7 billion per project.
  • Resuming construction under a temporary injunction involves risks, as final rulings could still uphold stop-work orders, potentially leading to costly halts and project dismantling.

By Bruce Beaubouef, Managing Editor

 

Developers of the five major offshore wind projects in US federal waters are in a race against time, hoping that they can complete construction before the next stop-work order is issued by the Trump administration, or adverse appeals court ruling forces them to stop work again.

These projects—all aimed at providing power to East Coast markets—include Revolution Wind, Empire Wind, Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW), Vineyard Wind 1, and Sunrise Wind.

These projects were all subject to a Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) stop-work order issued on Dec. 22, 2025. That order suspended construction activities for 90 days citing national security concerns related to potential radar interference from turbine blades.

The Dec. 22, 2025, BOEM stop-work order explicitly targeted and affected only these projects, which represented the totality of all large-scale US offshore wind farms that were under construction as of late 2025. Together, these projects are worth an estimated $25 billion and are designed to be capable of powering roughly 2.5 million homes once complete.

The project developers, including Orsted, Equinor, Dominion Energy, Avangrid Renewables and Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners, quickly filed suit against the stop-work order in various federal courts.

These developers argued that the orders were arbitrary, capricious and violated the Administrative Procedure Act, as the projects had already undergone extensive multi-year reviews by agencies including the Pentagon and FAA. Courts agreed at the preliminary stage, emphasizing irreparable harm, public interest and “likelihood of success on merits.” 

From mid-January through early February 2026, these US district courts granted preliminary injunctions. These preliminary injunctions now allow each project to resume work while underlying lawsuits proceed. The injunctions have prevented (or at least contained) the immediate economic fallout—estimated at up to $7 billion per project in some cases—and allowed resumption without waiting for full trials, which could take months.

To place the suspension costs in context: the brief suspensions (3-6 weeks) imposed significant daily costs—estimated at $1–5 million per project, with some citing over $1 million per day—and logistical pressure from vessel contracts, but developers have now resumed with timelines still targeting first power in 2026 where feasible and full operation by 2027.

However, these injunctions do not resolve the core disputes. Final rulings on the merits could still uphold the stop-work orders, though the unanimous preliminary decisions suggest a strong precedent for developers.

If courts ultimately side with the government, developers could face dismantling costs or lease revocations. However, with projects nearing completion, this becomes politically and practically challenging—dismantling operational turbines would be costly and potentially unpopular. The administration’s broader anti-wind stance (e.g., pausing new leases) adds uncertainty, potentially deterring future investments, but current projects benefit from sunk costs and contracts.

Preliminary injunction mechanics

But how much time can the developers expect from a preliminary injunction? And what are the risks of resuming construction under a preliminary injunction, which is by definition temporary? Let’s look at the (typical) mechanics of a preliminary injunction.

A preliminary injunction is a temporary court order issued to maintain the status quo and prevent irreparable harm while a case is litigated. Unlike a temporary restraining order, which typically lasts no more than 14 days (or up to 28 with an extension for cause), a preliminary injunction remains in effect until the court issues a further order, which could happen after discovery, motions practice or a full trial on the merits. This means that a preliminary injunction can last for months or even years, depending on the complexity of the case, court docket and any appeals.

For example, in high-profile litigation like these offshore wind cases, the underlying merits challenges could take six to 18 months or longer to resolve, but the preliminary injunction holds until then unless dissolved earlier (e.g., if new evidence emerges or the government prevails on a motion to dismiss).

Resuming construction under a preliminary injunction carries risks, since it is inherently temporary and could be reversed by a final ruling. A preliminary injunction is granted based on a preliminary assessment where the court finds that the plaintiff (in this case, the wind developers) is likely to succeed on the merits; faces irreparable harm without relief; and that the balance of equities/public interest favors them.

However, such a ruling is not a final determination. The full case on the merits (e.g., whether the Trump administration’s national security claims hold up) will come later, potentially after discovery and trial.

If the developers lose at that stage, the preliminary injunction could be dissolved, leading to another halt. In these specific cases, that could mean billions in sunk costs (e.g., one developer cited $4 billion already invested in a project, plus $1.2 billion in termination fees if canceled), layoffs of thousands of workers and abandoned infrastructure. Some projects are already 90% complete, amplifying the stakes.

For Sunrise Wind, the judge noted daily losses exceeding $1 million during the pause, plus there was the risk of losing a key installation vessel to the international market. For all five projects, delays could cascade, pushing completion dates back years and potentially making projects unviable financially.

Thus, resuming construction under a (temporary) preliminary injunction was a “no-brainer” for developers in time-sensitive industries like offshore wind, where delays compound costs exponentially. In these rulings, judges repeatedly cited “irreparable harm” from losing access to specialized installation vessels. Key examples include crane ships and cable-layers that are booked globally and could depart the US market if idle for too long.

With these cases, courts sided with developers on preliminary injunctions precisely because the harm from stopping is immediate and unrecoverable (e.g., vessel departures, contract breaches), while the government’s “national security” claims remain unproven and classified (and thus hard to rebut quickly).

A pragmatic gamble

Developers are taking calculated chances by resuming construction, but the trend favors them.

“Developers have taken a risked approach on the preliminary injunction, with odds more likely in their favor,” says Umang Mehrotra, senior analyst, Offshore Wind Renewables & Power at Rystad Energy, told Offshore. “They would aim for a relatively faster COD [commercial operations date], however the complexities are evident and the developers should ensure better alignment on supplies and logistics for a full COD by 2027.”

If final rulings uphold the preliminary injunctions (possible given the preliminary “likely to succeed” findings), analysts say they are likely to be vindicated.

But, reversal remains a risk, potentially leading to restarts, more delays and investor flight from the US offshore wind market.

Given these various economic threats—lost investment, termination fees and vessel departures—developers had little choice but to proceed under the preliminary injunctions to avoid permanent setbacks. It is a high-stakes bet, but one backed by court momentum and the economic imperative to deliver power and retain and create jobs.

In short, these preliminary injunctions buy time for full adjudication, but resuming is a pragmatic gamble—wise in the short term to mitigate vessel/delay risks, but not without long-term uncertainty until merits rulings. If the classified security claims prove weak (as initial judicial skepticism suggests), the developers could win outright.

For the developers, it is a gamble worth taking. It is worth noting that if the preliminary injunctions hold for the typical six to 18 months, key phases of most or all of these projects could be completed—or advanced irreversibly—before the preliminary injunctions are lifted, one way or the other.

Even if a final merits ruling eventually goes against the developers (which is not guaranteed given the courts’ initial “likely to succeed” findings), getting another six to 18 months of work done could mean:

  • Completing (or nearly completing) key offshore phases that are hardest to restart later (e.g., foundation installation, cable laying, turbine erection);
  • Locking in revenue from early power generation (some projects have PPAs with start dates); and
  • Avoiding massive termination penalties, layoff costs and reputational damage to US offshore wind that could scare off future investment.

In other words, if the preliminary injunctions hold long enough for the projects to “cross the finish line” (or get close), the developers “win” even if a final ruling reverses the injunction later. The sunk costs and momentum become too big for a presidential administration or court to easily unwind them without enormous political and economic fallout. That is precisely why the judges granted these preliminary injunctions so quickly; they recognized the harm from stopping was effectively permanent in practical terms, while the government’s national security justification (according to these judicial views) remains thin and untested in open court.

Current project progress varies

As of mid-February 2026, all five projects have resumed construction following their respective preliminary injunctions (granted between mid-January and early February).

Progress varies: Vineyard Wind 1 (95% complete, turbine campaign wrapping first-quarter 2026) and Revolution Wind (85-87% complete, turbine work finishing first-quarter 2026) are closest to operation.

Empire Wind 1 (60% complete), CVOW (~70% complete, turbine installation underway with first WTG erected late January/early February) and Sunrise Wind (~45% complete, foundations ongoing) are earlier in offshore phases, with turbine campaigns delayed to 2027 in some estimates. 

All target first power in 2026 where possible, with full commercial operation in 2026-2027. However, vessel delivery delays (e.g., for Empire Wind 1’s Sturgeon WTIV, expected end-February) and campaign sequencing could push turbine completion for some projects into 2027, per industry consultants like Spinergie.

The injunctions are temporary, but timelines favor completion for most projects if no appeals disrupt progress. Final merits decisions could come in spring or summer 2026, but appeals might extend to 2027. And with the Trump administration recently signaling that it plans to appeal these preliminary injunctions, the hands on the clock might just start to move even faster.

PROJECT

CURRENT STATUS

(as of early 2026)

EXPECTED COMMERCIAL OPERATION

Sunrise Wind

~45% complete; 44 of 84 turbine foundations installed; offshore substation in place

 

Resumed Feb. 2 after a ~6-week pause; Foundation campaign ongoing

Late 2026 to 2027 (WTG completion summer/H2 2027)

Vineyard Wind 1

~95% complete; 44 of 62 turbines operational/delivering power; only one turbine + blade work remains

 

Resumed after ~5-week pause

Fully operational by mid-2026 (already partially online; turbine campaign Q1 2026)

Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW)

70% complete; all 176 monopiles installed; turbine installation underway (first WTG erected Jan/early Feb)

 

Resumed after ~3.5-week pause

First power Q1 2026; full completion early 2027 (majority turbines by end-2026)

Empire Wind 1

~60% complete; export cables, foundations, cable protection ongoing; substation early 2026

 

Resumed after ~3.5-week pause; Sturgeon WTIV delivery expected end of February

First power late 2026 possible; full operation 2027 (turbine campaign April earliest; WTG completion March/April 2027)

Revolution Wind

~85-87% complete; 58-59 of 65 turbines installed; cables/substations complete

 

Resumed after ~3-week pause

Mid-2026 (first power within weeks; turbine campaign finishing Q1 2026)

 

About the Author

Bruce Beaubouef

Managing Editor

Bruce Beaubouef is Managing Editor for Offshore magazine. In that capacity, he plans and oversees content for the magazine; writes features on technologies and trends for the magazine; writes news updates for the website; creates and moderates topical webinars; and creates videos that focus on offshore oil and gas and renewable energies. Beaubouef has been in the oil and gas trade media for 25 years, starting out as Editor of Hart’s Pipeline Digest in 1998. From there, he went on to serve as Associate Editor for Pipe Line and Gas Industry for Gulf Publishing for four years before rejoining Hart Publications as Editor of PipeLine and Gas Technology in 2003. He joined Offshore magazine as Managing Editor in 2010, at that time owned by PennWell Corp. Beaubouef earned his Ph.D. at the University of Houston in 1997, and his dissertation was published in book form by Texas A&M University Press in September 2007 as The Strategic Petroleum Reserve: U.S. Energy Security and Oil Politics, 1975-2005.

Sign up for our eNewsletters
Get the latest news and updates